The Long and Short

An index futures trading journal.. and the occasional off-topic blog

Thursday, August 09, 2007

From Scratch..

I'm considering the last 30 days of my trading a learning period. I made alot points and conversely lost alot. The only reason I did not hold onto my profits is because I lacked the discipline to NOT trade when my set-ups weren't presenting themselves and I was shooting from the hip on a couple trades. I consider this to be my #1 obstacle right now.

Trading should be conducted as a bussiness. Up until now, I've been treating it as a hobby. I realize now that there needs to be a control (in the scientific sense). If I cannot logically explain why I took a trade then my results will not fully reflect my strategy (bussiness plan).

From this point forward, I am only allowing myself to trade my main setups. Granted my strategy only offers a handful of set-ups a month, but they are high probability and high point gainers. If this does not work for me over the next month, then I will try something new. If I deviate from this plan, then I obviously don't have what it takes to trade and at least I will know.

This month, starting tomorrow (August 10th) will be a true test of my commitment and discipline and will be an accurate assesment of my trading strategy's real-time performance. I am also making a commitment, to document every trade I make this month on this blog. That shouldn't be too hard because it will only be a few.

The following are my set-ups:

- Long Trade : short term RSI on 60 minute chart is below the 30. The longer term RSI is ABOVE the 35. The low has NOT take out the previous low. 5 minute chart is used for timing.

- Short Trade: long term RSI on 30 minute chart breaks above the 65 and retraces. Shorter term RSI then moves to above or @ the 70 mark (on SPX or INDU). Short on bearish candle.

Friday, July 27, 2007

Weekly Review

I closed about 16 points this week. High volitility allowed me to take advantage. I had two long entries today at the green arrows. The first one was stopped out. My third trade was short which could have been a major gain had I used a trailing stop.

The last chart shows support for the weekly. This looks like a good potential position trade.

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Tuesday, July 24, 2007

Went long today at the green arrow when the hammer formed at support. I closed 4 points which should have been 5 thanks to the major slippage on Xpresstrade. I got cocky and went long again when I thought price was bottoming out. It sure bottomed out and then some. I took a 2 point loss on the second trade meaning +2 points for the day.

The second chart illustrates the major support failure for the day. My next trade will be to the short side. I'm looking for the RSI(7) on the 60 minute chart to be showing weakness around the 70.

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Sunday, July 22, 2007

Weekly Review

I currently have one long postion going into next week. I didn't record how many points I made but I made 12% on my trading account. I'm proud of my self for not making any emotionally based trades and waiting patiently for my set-ups. I only made four trades so less actually was more in this case. Happy trading!

Wednesday, July 18, 2007

I closed about 7 points today with a long trade at the green arrow. Some other trade confirmations were that fact that the price was consolidating at major support and price was also clearly bottoming out on the 5 minute chart. Strong volume today and buying pressure on the daily candle suggest that tomorrow might be bullish.

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Tuesday, July 17, 2007

I went short today at the red arrow on the 30 minute chart. I liquidated half my contracts after gaining 5 points. A couple hours later in the after hours, the second half was up 10 so I covered them for a pretty profit. I missed a long trade prior to that when a hammer formed at 1574 and the day's open. Unfortunately I had a meeting so I couldn't put any money into that one.

The daily looks like its at major resistance and will move down a considerable amount before the current rally resumes.

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Friday, July 06, 2007

Today was frustrating. I could have made ten points in the after hours if I had placed a sell order and then could have locked in another 6 points this morning if I had not botched up the sell order which got filled after I canceled it. Xpresstrade labled it as a TLTC (too late to cancel). I only lost a point though. It seems I got the whole entry thing down but need to work on my exit strategy.

Anyway, I'm betting that the S&P will top out a little more before hitting major resistance. I won't get a chance to be in front of the computer all next week but am hoping some set ups present themselves in after hours.

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About Me

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I am a full time systems engineer and a part time futures trader. I'm aiming to become a full time trader in the next couple years.